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Decision and Information Sciences |  |
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Research Areas:
Energy, Environment, and Economics
National and Homeland Security
Infrastructure Assurance
Emergency Preparedness
Social Dynamics
Policy Analysis
Core Capabilities:
Systems Analysis
Modeling, Simulation, and Visualization
Complex Adaptive Systems
Decision and Risk Analysis
Information Sciences
Capturing Business Complexity with Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation:
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| Session I: ABMS Concepts | ||
| Day 1: Monday | ||
| Start | End | Section |
| 9:30 AM | 9:45 AM | Welcome to the Course Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago An introduction to the course and the Santa Fe Institute Business Network. |
| 9:45 AM | 10:15 AM | Introduction to SFI and the Business Network Shannon Larsen, Santa Fe Institute An introduction to both SFI and the SFI Business Network |
| 10:15 AM | 10:30 AM | Welcome to Argonne Richard Cirillo, Argonne National Laboratory A welcome to the course and Argonne National Laboratory. |
| 10:30 AM | 10:45 AM | Course Overview Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago ABMS is an exciting new approach to capturing business complexity. Developing the knowledge and skills necessary to apply ABMS to business questions requires focused learning. An overview of the focused learning approach offered by the course will be provided. The short-term goals of the course include imparting ABMS knowledge and skills that are useful in a business setting. The long-term goals of the course include building a vibrant business-oriented ABMS community. |
| 10:45 AM | 11:00 AM | Break Refreshments will be served. |
| 11:00 AM | Noon | The Role and Roots of ABMS Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago This presentation introduces the history of agent-based modeling and simulation (ABMS) including Craig Reynolds’ “Boids” and John Conway’s “Game of Life.” This presentation also uses a supply chain example to compare and contrast agent-based modeling and simulation with other modeling techniques including systems dynamics, discrete-event simulation, participatory simulation, statistical modeling, risk analysis, and optimization. The presentation also discusses why businesses and government agencies do modeling and simulation. |
| Noon | 1:00 PM | Lunch Work Session Lunch will be provided. During lunch participants will be asked to begin considering how ABMS might be applicable to their businesses. |
| 1:00 PM | 2:00 PM | ABMS Applications Discussion Session Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Participants will discuss their questions about and thoughts on how ABMS might be applied to address issues of interest in their businesses. |
| 2:00 PM | 3:00 PM | ABMS Examples Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago This presentation introduces a wide range of example uses of ABMS |
| 3:00 PM | 3:30 PM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 3:30 PM | 5:00 PM | Discovering Agents and Agent Behaviors Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago This presentation details how to find, document, and conceptually implement agent behaviors in systems. |
| Day 2: Tuesday | ||
| 9:30 AM | 10:30 AM | Office ABMS Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago This presentation provides an overview of ways to create agent-based models including agent-based modeling and simulation architectures and implementation tools. The presentation also discusses model growth paths for enhancing systems and related issues. |
| 10:30 AM | 10:45 AM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 10:45 AM | Noon | ABMS Verification and Validation John Pepper, Santa Fe Institute [Invited] Verification approaches are used to determine how closely an implemented ABMS matches its intended design. Validation approaches are used to determine how well an ABMS reproduces the real situations being modeled. ABMS verification and validation will be discussed in detail. |
| Noon | 1:00 PM | Lunch Work Session Lunch will be provided. During lunch participants will be asked to begin designing a conceptual ABMS architecture, agents, and an agent environment to address issues of interest in each of their businesses. |
| 1:00 PM | 2:00 PM | ABMS Applications Discussion Session Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Participants will discuss the conceptual ABMS architectures, the agents, and the agent environments that they design to address issues of interest in each of their businesses. |
| 2:00 PM | 3:00 PM | A Visual Approach to Data Collection and Cleaning Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago The collection and management of data will be discussed. Approaches to cleaning data during and after collection will also be discussed. |
| 3:00 PM | 3:30 PM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 3:30 PM | 5:00 PM | Understanding and Presenting ABMS Results Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago This presentation shows how to understand and present agent-based modeling and simulation results. A supply chain example is used to illustrate the concepts. |
| Day 3: Wednesday (Morning Sections) | ||
| 9:30 AM | 10:15 AM | ABMS Example: Logistics and Supply Chain Model Charles Van Groningen, Argonne National Laboratory An example large-scale agent-based logistics and supply chain model will be discussed. |
| 10:15 AM | 11:00 AM | ABMS Examples: Energy Markets Guenter Conzelmann, Argonne National Laboratory Examples of agent-based energy market models will be discussed. |
| 11:00 AM | 11:15 AM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 11:15 AM | Noon | ABMS Examples: Anthropology J. Stephen Lansing, Santa Fe Institute and The University of Arizona An example agent-based anthropological model will be discussed. |
| Noon | 1:00 PM | ABMS Examples: Banking/Finance and HIV Epidemics David Sallach, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago An example agent-based banking and finance model and an example HIV epidemic model will both be discussed. |
| Session II: ABMS Software Development | ||
| Day 3: Wednesday (Afternoon Sections) | ||
| Start | End | Section |
| 1:00 PM | 3:00 PM | Spreadsheet ABMS Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Hands-on exercises will show how to create an agent-based model using a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet. |
| 3:00 PM | 3:15 PM | Break |
| 3:15 PM | 5:00 PM | A Supply Chain Example Charles Macal, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Complex supply chain operation is a key feature of modern business. A supply chain example that will later be captured using ABMS will be introduced using UML diagrams and a Mathematica notebook. |
| Day 4: Thursday | ||
| 9:30 AM | 10:30 AM | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part I Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors from Argonne National Laboratory Repast is a widely used free and open source cross-platform ABMS toolkit. A Repast ABMS approach to modeling the previously introduced supply chain example will be discussed. A hands-on approach will be used wherein the instructor will describe each ABMS concept and then the participants will immediately apply the concept to solidify their understanding. |
| 10:30 AM | 10:45 AM | Break |
| 10:45 AM | Noon | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part II Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors from Argonne National Laboratory Hands-on “learning by doing” with the previously introduced supply chain model will continue. |
| Noon | 1:00 PM | Lunch Lunch will be provided. |
| 1:00 PM | 3:30 PM | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part III Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors from Argonne National Laboratory Hands-on “learning by doing” with the previously introduced supply chain model will continue. |
| 3:30 PM | 3:45 PM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 3:45 PM | 5:00 PM | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part IV Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors from Argonne National Laboratory Hands-on “learning by doing” with the previously introduced supply chain model will continue. |
| Day 5: Friday | ||
| 9:30 AM | 10:30 AM | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part V Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors, Argonne National Laboratory Hands-on “learning by doing” with the previously introduced supply chain model will continue. |
| 10:30 AM | 10:45 AM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 10:45 AM | Noon | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part VI Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors, Argonne National Laboratory Hands-on “learning by doing” with the previously introduced supply chain model will continue. |
| Noon | 1:00 PM | Lunch Lunch will be provided. |
| 1:00 PM | 3:00 PM | Capturing the Supply Chain Example, Part VII Michael North, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago Additional Instructors, Argonne National Laboratory Hands-on “learning by doing” with the previously introduced supply chain model will continue. |
| 3:00 PM | 3:15 PM | Break Refreshments will be provided. |
| 3:15 PM | 4:30 PM | The Future of ABMS David Sallach, Argonne National Laboratory and The University of Chicago In recent times, a wide range of transdisciplinary techniques have coalesced into what is now known as ABMS. However, ABMS is still an embryonic and continuously evolving art and science. Areas of ABMS that are likely to change will be highlighted and exciting directions for future growth will be discussed. |
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